(Bloomberg) — Itâs raining in Brazil, and the coffee bulls are running for cover. Downpours in the past month mean moisture levels are adequate in most growing areas, replenishing soil left parched by a drought in 2014, according to MDA Weather Services. The rains in the top coffee producer and exporter spurred hedge funds to cut their bullish wagers by the most in a year. Coffee swung from a bear market to a bull market and back again over the past year, making it the most volatile component of the Bloomberg Commodity Index. After 2014âs dry spell caused prices to double, futures retreated for a sixth consecutive month in February. Global stockpiles at the end of September will be 14 percent higher than previously estimated, the U.S. government said in its most recent outlook. âThe rain picture is really changing the trajectory for coffee going forward,â Paul Christopher, the St. Louis-based head of international strategy at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, which oversees $1.6 trillion, said by phone Feb. 26. âYou have adequate world supply, and if production is increasing, you just donât have to worry.â The net-bullish position in coffee tumbled 49 percent to 8,167 futures and options in the … continue reading
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Source: CTRM Center